Trajectory of the Pandemic
New COVID-19 infections are rising exponentially and the country continues to record an
increasingly high number of hospitalizations and deaths, across the country.
The number of new cases per day has more than tripled, since the first week of June,
from an average 507 cases per day, to the current average of 1,798 cases per day. Over
the past two weeks, a total of fifty-nine-thousand-and-fifteen (59,015) tests have been
conducted, with a positivity rate of 41 percent. This means 4 out of every 10 people you
interact with, in your day-to-day dealings, are likely to be COVID-19 positive. This rising
level of exposure is of great concern, because of the highly transmissible nature of the
virus.
Expert projections and simulation tools indicate that the rising incidence curve, during
this Third Wave, is expected to peak around mid-August and may continue well until mid-
September 2021. The darkest hour of the night, comes just before day-break. It is
expected to get worse, before it becomes better. We must therefore do everything in
our power to suppress the rate of transmission. Only you and I, can stop the further
spread of this virus from ravaging our homes and communities.
Over the past 15 days, the Khomas region continues to record the highest number of
new infections, with 42 percent of total cases in the country. The Erongo region recorded
12 percent of total infections, while the Otjozondjupa and Hardap regions recorded the
third and fourth highest rate of new infections, at 7 percent, each. While the country
recorded a 50 percent recovery rate over the last 15 days, the fatality rate has also risen
sharply and the country has recorded the regrettable loss of 513 Namibian lives, in a
period of just 15 days, due to COVID-19 or related illness. Notably, thirty-one (31)
percent of fatalities occurred in the Khomas region, accounting for 158 deaths; and 12
percent in the Erongo, Hardap and Omaheke regions, accounting for 63, 63 and 61
deaths, respectively. Efforts to augment capacities and to respond to the needs of public
health facilities, in adversely affected regions, are being intensified with the supply of
essential consumables as well as human resources.
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